Unemployment Rates

10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread is at 0.51%, compared to 0.48% the previous market day and 0.55% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 0.85%. The 10-2 Treasury Yield Spread is the difference between the 10 year treasury rate and the 2 year treasury rate. A 10-2 treasury spread that approaches 0 signifies a "flattening" yield curve. A negative 10-2 yield spread has historically been viewed as a precursor to a recessionary period. A negative 10-2 spread has predicted every recession from 1955 to 2018, but has occurred 6-24 months before the recession occurring, and is thus seen as a far-leading indicator. The 10-2 spread reached a high of 2.91% in 2011, and went as low as -2.41% in 1980.

Source: https://ycharts.com/indicators/10_2_year_treasury_yield_spread

New orders for US-manufactured durable goods increased 0.3% month-over-month to $334.77 billion in June 2026, rebounding from a revised 4% slump in May but much lower than forecasts of a 1.6% jump. Orders for capital goods went up 1.1% and increases were also seen in orders for primary metals (1.1%), computers and electronics (3.1%), and electrical equipment, appliances, and components (0.9%). On the other hand, orders declined for transportation (-0.2%), mostly motor vehicle and parts (-0.6%), fabricated metal products (-0.5%), and machinery (-0.1%). Excluding transportation, durable goods orders were up 0.6%. Meanwhile, orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, rose by 0.9%, following an upwardly revised 1.9% rise in May and above forecasts of 0.8%. Business investment has remained resilient this year, supported by robust spending on AI and a war-related increase in US defence orders.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/durable-goods-orders

Crude Spot Oil Prices

Average Crude Oil Spot Price is at a current level of 79.80, down from 81.70 last month and up from 69.20 one year ago. This is a change of -2.33% from last month and 15.32% from one year ago. The Average Crude Oil Spot Price calculates an equally weighted price of the WTI Crude Oil Price, Brent Crude Oil Price, and Dubai Crude Oil Price. This metric gives a nice overview of the broad crude oil market, rather than looking at one type of crude oil price alone. One of the most notable times for the Average Crude Oil Spot Price was in 2008. Prices for the Average Crude reached as high as $114/barrel because of large cuts in production. However, because of the financial crisis and an abrupt loss of demand for oil globally, the price of Average Crude fell as much at 70% off highs in January of 2009.

Source: https://ycharts.com/indicators/average_crude_oil_spot_price